Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.404678 0.447980 0.494525 0.548371 0.609058 0.675468 0.753818
2025-04-20 0.337906 0.398274 0.468000 0.554890 0.660821 0.786469 0.947823
2025-04-27 0.300169 0.368778 0.451912 0.560867 0.701086 0.877065 1.117166
2025-05-04 0.272504 0.346103 0.438792 0.565373 0.735717 0.959844 1.281770
2025-05-11 0.249753 0.326238 0.425773 0.566583 0.763554 1.033660 1.439736
2025-05-18 0.233083 0.312177 0.418171 0.572972 0.797288 1.116827 1.618052
2025-05-25 0.212909 0.291262 0.398912 0.560482 0.801845 1.157255 1.735966
2025-06-01 0.201855 0.281911 0.394624 0.568410 0.836004 1.243356 1.932208
2025-06-08 0.188721 0.268404 0.383036 0.564056 0.850436 1.299632 2.085818
2025-06-15 0.179468 0.259766 0.377720 0.568378 0.878125 1.378564 2.284989
2025-06-22 0.167948 0.246854 0.364904 0.559683 0.883671 1.421138 2.425176
2025-06-29 0.158483 0.236389 0.355009 0.554645 0.894388 1.472718 2.586421
2025-07-06 0.145752 0.220222 0.335376 0.532606 0.875144 1.471838 2.652790
2025-07-13 0.140056 0.214800 0.332470 0.538175 0.904044 1.558968 2.898050
2025-07-20 0.134904 0.209869 0.329933 0.543994 0.933608 1.649774 3.161637
2025-07-27 0.129883 0.204804 0.326770 0.548341 0.960642 1.738150 3.431352
2025-08-03 0.124672 0.199082 0.322080 0.549510 0.981656 1.816676 3.690178
2025-08-10 0.120723 0.195227 0.320284 0.555678 1.012545 1.917529 4.011216
2025-08-17 0.114022 0.186283 0.309089 0.543619 1.006764 1.943085 4.164890
2025-08-24 0.110956 0.183447 0.308449 0.551274 1.040707 2.054422 4.533907
2025-08-31 0.106272 0.177506 0.301885 0.547070 1.050091 2.114144 4.786863
2025-09-07 0.103133 0.174130 0.299741 0.551243 1.077060 2.214744 5.155583
2025-09-14 0.098416 0.167667 0.291547 0.542848 1.076670 2.253985 5.372615